Khorfakkan 2-4 Al Ittihad Kalba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒16:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
42%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
2.77
6+ Goals
10%
7.84
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.24 — our 28% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
41%
-11.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
42%
Away Win
32%
+9.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.6pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.47/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.04
+20% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +76%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
19.8 Crosses 12.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khorfakkan
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.61 xG 1.07
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
290 Passes 316
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 0-1 HT 0-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
28.09.2024 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
01.06.2024 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
13.02.2024 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 1-1 HT 0-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
15.09.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 5-1 HT 3-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAELK
31.08.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAELK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khorfakkan
2-4
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba
1.36 xG 2.82
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 30
3 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 6
263 Passes 399
83% Pass Accuracy 93%
11 Box Touches 38
10 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Khorfakkan vs Al Ittihad Kalba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad Kalba beat Khorfakkan 4-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ittihad Kalba as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Khorfakkan had 42% of the ball to Al Ittihad Kalba's 58%, shots finished 5-30, expected goals 1.36 to 2.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad Kalba led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Khorfakkan and 1.83 for Al Ittihad Kalba.

What was the final score of Khorfakkan vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Khorfakkan 2-4 Al Ittihad Kalba in the UAE - League on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khorfakkan vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ittihad Kalba win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Khorfakkan 29%, draw 29%, Al Ittihad Kalba 42%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad Kalba) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ittihad Kalba) ✗ Under 2.5
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