RFC Liege 1-2 Waasland-Beveren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
52%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
22%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-0.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
52%
Away Win
50%
+2.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.9pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +16%
1.68/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.89
-8% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 81%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
17.8 Crosses 19.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RFC Liege
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
2.04 xG 1.51
40% Ball Possession 60%
18 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
251 Passes 438
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
30 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 3-1 HT 3-0 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
31.08.2024 RFC Liege RFC Liege 0-0 HT 0-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
31.03.2024 RFC Liege RFC Liege 5-1 HT 4-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
24.09.2023 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 1-2 HT 1-1 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Liege
1-2
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
1.43 xG 2.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
283 Passes 441
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 37
18 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH RFC Liege vs Waasland-Beveren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waasland-Beveren nicked a narrow win over RFC Liege 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Waasland-Beveren as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, RFC Liege had 41% of the ball to Waasland-Beveren's 59%, shots finished 9-23, expected goals 1.43 to 2.67 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Waasland-Beveren's control.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, RFC Liege had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for RFC Liege and 1.25 for Waasland-Beveren.

What was the final score of RFC Liege vs Waasland-Beveren?

RFC Liege 1-2 Waasland-Beveren in the Belgium - 1st Division on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Liege vs Waasland-Beveren?

Before kick-off our model rated an Waasland-Beveren win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split RFC Liege 25%, draw 23%, Waasland-Beveren 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waasland-Beveren), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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