Nacional Potosi 1-2 Gualberto Villarroel SJ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.55
No
36%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
52%
+1.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.3pp
64%
BTTS Yes
60%
+3.4pp
36%
BTTS No
40%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.87/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.51
+27% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
323 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
25.3 Crosses 12.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Potosi
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.20 xG 1.21
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
343 Passes 246
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2025 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1-0 HT 1-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
09.12.2024 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
18.08.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 2-1 HT 0-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Potosi
1-2
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1.52 xG 0.68
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
267 Passes 175
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 12
38 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nacional Potosi vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gualberto Villarroel SJ squeezed past Nacional Potosi 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Nacional Potosi at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nacional Potosi had 57% of the ball to Gualberto Villarroel SJ's 43%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.52 to 0.68 — on chances, Nacional Potosi could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gualberto Villarroel SJ led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nacional Potosi and 1.33 for Gualberto Villarroel SJ.

What was the final score of Nacional Potosi vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Nacional Potosi 1-2 Gualberto Villarroel SJ in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Potosi vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Potosi win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Nacional Potosi 54%, draw 22%, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nacional Potosi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional Potosi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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