Hillerod 1-2 AGF Aarhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - DBU Cup, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
59%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
14%
+5.5pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.3pp
59%
Away Win
68%
-8.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.4pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hillerod EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 72%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
0.14/2.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.53/0.77
-87% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +22%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
230 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.5
Crosses 33.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
POST-MATCH Hillerod vs AGF Aarhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AGF Aarhus nicked a narrow win over Hillerod 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AGF Aarhus as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Hillerod vs AGF Aarhus?

Hillerod 1-2 AGF Aarhus in the Denmark - DBU Cup on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hillerod vs AGF Aarhus?

Before kick-off our model rated an AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Hillerod 19%, draw 22%, AGF Aarhus 59%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AGF Aarhus), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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