Aarhus Fremad 1-2 Hobro IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - DBU Cup, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
42%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
46%
-10.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
41%
Away Win
29%
+12.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.9pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 32%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.85/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+2% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
292 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 75%
39.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarhus Fremad
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hobro IK
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.80 xG 1.79
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
466 Passes 437
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 23
3 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 3-0 HT 2-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
POST-MATCH Aarhus Fremad vs Hobro IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hobro IK edged past Aarhus Fremad 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hobro IK as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Aarhus Fremad vs Hobro IK?

Aarhus Fremad 1-2 Hobro IK in the Denmark - DBU Cup on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarhus Fremad vs Hobro IK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hobro IK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aarhus Fremad 35%, draw 23%, Hobro IK 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hobro IK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hobro IK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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