Thisted 1-2 FC Fredericia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - DBU Cup, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.34
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
60%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.88
No
43%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
16%
+0.9pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.6pp
60%
Away Win
63%
-2.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.0pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thisted EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 67%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.70/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.05
+61% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +7%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
263 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 519 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Thisted vs FC Fredericia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Fredericia nicked a narrow win over Thisted 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Fredericia as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Thisted vs FC Fredericia?

Thisted 1-2 FC Fredericia in the Denmark - DBU Cup on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thisted vs FC Fredericia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Fredericia win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Thisted 17%, draw 23%, FC Fredericia 60%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Fredericia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Fredericia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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