Kaizer Chiefs 1-1 Marumo Gallants — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-2.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.5pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaizer Chiefs EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 24%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.35/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.32
-13% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
16.7 Crosses 17.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaizer Chiefs
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Marumo Gallants
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.30 xG 0.73
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
310 Passes 289
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.04.2025 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 1-2 HT 1-1 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
14.09.2024 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 1-2 HT 1-1 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
08.04.2023 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 1-1 HT 1-1 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
11.09.2022 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 1-1 HT 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
03.05.2022 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 1-0 HT 0-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
26.09.2021 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 0-0 HT 0-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kaizer Chiefs
1-1
AWAY Marumo Gallants
1.64 xG 0.47
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 1
429 Passes 265
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 6
12 Crosses 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kaizer Chiefs vs Marumo Gallants
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaizer Chiefs and Marumo Gallants couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kaizer Chiefs at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Kaizer Chiefs had 57% of the ball to Marumo Gallants's 43%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 1.64 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kaizer Chiefs had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kaizer Chiefs and 0.83 for Marumo Gallants.

What was the final score of Kaizer Chiefs vs Marumo Gallants?

Kaizer Chiefs 1-1 Marumo Gallants in the South Afrika - Premier League on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaizer Chiefs vs Marumo Gallants?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kaizer Chiefs win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kaizer Chiefs 48%, draw 29%, Marumo Gallants 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kaizer Chiefs), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kaizer Chiefs) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GAFPSL More South Afrika - Premier League
24 Sep 2025
16:00 Golden Arrows vs Mamelodi Sundowns Analysis →
20:30 Sekhukhune United vs Chippa United Analysis →
20:30 Richards Bay vs Magesi Analysis →
20:30 Orbit College vs Polokwane City Analysis →
20:30 Stellenbosch FC vs Durban City Analysis →
20:30 TS Galaxy vs AmaZulu Analysis →