Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 Suduva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
66%
-1.5pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.9pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+3.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.3pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Suduva EU Bookmakers 16%
-27% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.24/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.87
-33% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Suduva
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.08.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-2 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LITK
13.06.2025 Suduva Suduva 0-0 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
12.04.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-0 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LITA
09.11.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-4 HT 0-1 Suduva Suduva LITA
17.08.2024 Suduva Suduva 1-1 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
19.06.2024 Suduva Suduva 2-2 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
1-1
AWAY Suduva
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs Suduva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris and Suduva couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Kauno Zalgiris carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 51% of the ball to Suduva's 49%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suduva led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 1.50 for Suduva.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs Suduva?

Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 Suduva in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs Suduva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 64%, draw 20%, Suduva 16%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✗ Over 2.5
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