Flota Swinoujscie 2-2 Jastrzebie Zdroj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.52
Over 2.5
51%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.06
No
48%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
62%
-12.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
38%
+12.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.1pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flota Swinoujscie EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flota Swinoujscie
2-2
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Flota Swinoujscie vs Jastrzebie Zdroj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flota Swinoujscie and Jastrzebie Zdroj couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Flota Swinoujscie at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Flota Swinoujscie had 57% of the ball to Jastrzebie Zdroj's 43%, shots finished 22-14.

What was the final score of Flota Swinoujscie vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Flota Swinoujscie 2-2 Jastrzebie Zdroj in the Poland - Cup on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flota Swinoujscie vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flota Swinoujscie win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Flota Swinoujscie 41%, draw 26%, Jastrzebie Zdroj 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Flota Swinoujscie) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Flota Swinoujscie) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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