Astrakhan 0-2 Chernomorets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup Regional League, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
49%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.75
Over 2.5
58%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
31%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+3.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-5.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
53%
-11.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
47%
+11.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Astrakhan EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 58%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +21%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
226 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
POST-MATCH Astrakhan vs Chernomorets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chernomorets beat Astrakhan 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chernomorets as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Astrakhan vs Chernomorets?

Astrakhan 0-2 Chernomorets in the Russia - Cup Regional League on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Astrakhan vs Chernomorets?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Astrakhan 24%, draw 27%, Chernomorets 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chernomorets), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chernomorets) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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