Cherepovets 1-4 Shinnik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup Regional League, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
19%
3.45
Away
56%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
26%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+5.7pp
19%
Draw
26%
-6.9pp
56%
Away Win
55%
+1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cherepovets EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Shinnik EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
251 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Cherepovets vs Shinnik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shinnik swept aside Cherepovets 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shinnik as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Cherepovets vs Shinnik?

Cherepovets 1-4 Shinnik in the Russia - Cup Regional League on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cherepovets vs Shinnik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shinnik win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Cherepovets 25%, draw 19%, Shinnik 56%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shinnik) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shinnik) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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