Volgar Astrakhan 1-1 Neftekhimik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup Regional League, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
48%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.1pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.2pp
48%
Away Win
41%
+7.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volgar Astrakhan EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volgar Astrakhan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Neftekhimik
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.05.2024 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan 1-0 HT 0-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
16.07.2023 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 2-1 HT 1-0 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan RUS1
19.03.2023 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-1 HT 0-1 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan RUS1
06.11.2021 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 0-1 HT 0-1 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan RUS1
24.07.2021 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan 1-0 HT 0-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
28.03.2021 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-1 HT 0-1 Volgar Astrakhan Volgar Astrakhan RUS1
POST-MATCH Volgar Astrakhan vs Neftekhimik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volgar Astrakhan and Neftekhimik shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Neftekhimik at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Volgar Astrakhan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Volgar Astrakhan and 0.67 for Neftekhimik.

What was the final score of Volgar Astrakhan vs Neftekhimik?

Volgar Astrakhan 1-1 Neftekhimik in the Russia - Cup Regional League on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volgar Astrakhan vs Neftekhimik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neftekhimik win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Volgar Astrakhan 29%, draw 23%, Neftekhimik 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Neftekhimik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neftekhimik) ✓ Under 2.5
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