Athlone Town 1-0 Wexford Youths — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 24 Oct 2024

📅24/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
14.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 29% vs market 25.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.85
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
15%
5.63
X/2
16%
5.39
X/X
12%
4.54
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
16%
3.62
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +20%
1.80/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.50
+46% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
239 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athlone Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Wexford Youths
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-1 HT 1-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
12.08.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-3 HT 2-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
03.05.2024 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-2 HT 2-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
16.02.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 3-0 HT 3-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
25.08.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İR1
07.07.2023 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-4 HT 1-4 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athlone Town
1-0
AWAY Wexford Youths
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Athlone Town vs Wexford Youths
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athlone Town squeezed past Wexford Youths 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Athlone Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Athlone Town had 47% of the ball to Wexford Youths's 53%, shots finished 4-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wexford Youths led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Athlone Town and 1.67 for Wexford Youths.

What was the final score of Athlone Town vs Wexford Youths?

Athlone Town 1-0 Wexford Youths in the Ireland - 1st Division on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athlone Town vs Wexford Youths?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wexford Youths win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Athlone Town 37%, draw 25%, Wexford Youths 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Wexford Youths) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wexford Youths) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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