CSKA Sofia 2-0 Botev Vratsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 24 Oct 2024

📅24/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.3
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
21%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
73%
-17.8pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.8pp
22%
Away Win
10%
+12.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.0pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 12%
-24% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.57/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/3.17
-25% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -43%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
470 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Botev Vratsa
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.02.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 3-0 HT 2-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
08.05.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 5-1 HT 2-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
2-0
AWAY Botev Vratsa
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 2
9 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs Botev Vratsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia saw off Botev Vratsa 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CSKA Sofia had 69% of the ball to Botev Vratsa's 31%, shots finished 19-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for CSKA Sofia and 0.50 for Botev Vratsa.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?

CSKA Sofia 2-0 Botev Vratsa in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 55%, draw 24%, Botev Vratsa 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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