Slavia Sofia 3-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 24 Oct 2024

📅24/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.13/0.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.85
-24% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Sofia
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-2 HT 1-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
16.09.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
06.06.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 2-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
23.05.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-1 HT 1-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
17.03.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
POST-MATCH Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Sofia edged past Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slavia Sofia as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Slavia Sofia and 1.00 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.

What was the final score of Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Slavia Sofia 3-2 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Slavia Sofia 45%, draw 27%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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