Chennaiyin FC 2-2 FC Goa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 24 Oct 2024

📅24/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
45%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
2.21
Over
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
30%
4.5
2-3
40%
1.9
4-5
22%
2.91
6+
8%
8.44
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.5 — our 30% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
29%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
45%
Away Win
38%
+6.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.4pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chennaiyin FC The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Goa The Market 42%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
1.37/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.25
-12% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
18.6 Crosses 20.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chennaiyin FC
1W-0D-5L
AWAY FC Goa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.17 xG 1.68
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
226 Passes 349
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 2-1 HT 2-1 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
14.04.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 4-1 HT 3-1 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
05.11.2023 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
16.02.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 1-2 HT 0-1 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
21.10.2022 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
09.02.2022 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 0-5 HT 0-4 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chennaiyin FC
2-2
AWAY FC Goa
2.00 xG 1.44
42% Ball Possession 58%
21 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
200 Passes 311
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 25
25 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chennaiyin FC vs FC Goa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chennaiyin FC and FC Goa couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was FC Goa at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Chennaiyin FC had 42% of the ball to FC Goa's 58%, shots finished 21-15, expected goals 2.00 to 1.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Goa led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chennaiyin FC and 2.83 for FC Goa.

What was the final score of Chennaiyin FC vs FC Goa?

Chennaiyin FC 2-2 FC Goa in the India - Super League on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chennaiyin FC vs FC Goa?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Goa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Chennaiyin FC 32%, draw 23%, FC Goa 45%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Goa) ✗ Under 2.5
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