Cruz Azul 4-0 FC Juarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 24 Oct 2024

📅24/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.29
Draw
24%
5.15
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.42
2-3 Goals
38%
2.0
4-5 Goals
26%
2.67
6+ Goals
12%
6.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
73%
-16.0pp
24%
Draw
16%
+7.3pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
2.06/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.69
-9% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
424 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
23.6 Crosses 14.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cruz Azul
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FC Juarez
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.33 xG 0.66
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
376 Passes 332
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2024 FC Juarez FC Juarez 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
02.11.2023 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
26.02.2023 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
03.09.2022 FC Juarez FC Juarez 2-2 HT 0-2 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
16.01.2022 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
11.09.2021 FC Juarez FC Juarez 2-1 HT 2-1 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cruz Azul
4-0
AWAY FC Juarez
2.71 xG 0.35
63% Ball Possession 37%
24 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
516 Passes 275
90% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cruz Azul swept aside FC Juarez 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Cruz Azul had 63% of the ball to FC Juarez's 37%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 2.71 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cruz Azul and 0.67 for FC Juarez.

What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez?

Cruz Azul 4-0 FC Juarez in the Mexico - Primera on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 57%, draw 24%, FC Juarez 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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