Tijuana 2-2 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 24 Oct 2024

📅24/10/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+8.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-7.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tijuana EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.24/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.05
+6% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
278 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
15.4 Crosses 18.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tijuana
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Club America
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.95 xG 1.80
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
302 Passes 357
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2024 Tijuana Tijuana 0-2 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
05.11.2023 Club America Club America 3-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
20.02.2023 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 1-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
24.07.2022 Tijuana Tijuana 2-0 HT 1-0 Club America Club America MEK
16.04.2022 Tijuana Tijuana 1-3 HT 1-2 Club America Club America MEK
23.08.2021 Club America Club America 2-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tijuana
2-2
AWAY Club America
1.26 xG 0.98
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 3
502 Passes 298
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 26
7 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tijuana vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tijuana and Club America couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Tijuana had 62% of the ball to Club America's 38%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.26 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tijuana and 2.00 for Club America.

What was the final score of Tijuana vs Club America?

Tijuana 2-2 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tijuana vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tijuana win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 40%, draw 24%, Club America 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tijuana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tijuana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK More Mexico - Primera
24 Oct 2024
04:00 Monterrey vs Pumas UNAM Analysis →
04:00 Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez Analysis →
06:00 Leon vs Atlas Analysis →