Leon 0-0 Atlas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 24 Oct 2024

Leon
0-0 HT 0-0
Atlas
📅24/10/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Leon vs Atlas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.33
6+ Goals
10%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leon v Atlas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leon EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlas EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -14%
1.47/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.30
-16% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
19.5 Crosses 17.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Leon vs Atlas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leon
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Atlas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.34 xG 1.55
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
308 Passes 345
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.02.2024 Atlas Atlas 0-1 HT 0-0 Leon Leon MEK
25.10.2023 Leon Leon 1-1 HT 0-1 Atlas Atlas MEK
12.03.2023 Atlas Atlas 0-1 HT 0-1 Leon Leon MEK
29.08.2022 Leon Leon 4-2 HT 1-1 Atlas Atlas MEK
20.01.2022 Leon Leon 1-1 HT 1-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
13.12.2021 Atlas Atlas 1-0 HT 0-0 Leon Leon MEK

Leon 0-0 Atlas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leon
0-0
AWAY Atlas
0.97 xG 0.25
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 8
420 Passes 230
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 21
POST-MATCH Leon vs Atlas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leon and Atlas played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Leon at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Leon had 62% of the ball to Atlas's 38%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 0.97 to 0.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leon had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leon and 0.83 for Atlas.

What was the final score of Leon vs Atlas?

Leon 0-0 Atlas in the Mexico - Primera on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leon vs Atlas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leon win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Leon 43%, draw 26%, Atlas 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Leon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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