Tijuana 0-2 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 14 Jan 2024

Tijuana
0-2 HT 0-0
Club America
📅14/01/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Tijuana vs Club America Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.01
2-3 Goals
45%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.03
6+ Goals
9%
9.68
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 25% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.47
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
20%
4.45
X/2
12%
7.95
X/X
11%
5.22
2/1
6%
22.15
2/2
13%
5.55
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-9.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.7pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tijuana v Club America — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tijuana EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +22%
1.48/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.06
-13% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
22.4 Crosses 13.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Tijuana vs Club America Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tijuana
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Club America
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.69 xG 2.16
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
288 Passes 369
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Club America Club America 3-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
20.02.2023 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 1-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
24.07.2022 Tijuana Tijuana 2-0 HT 1-0 Club America Club America MEK
16.04.2022 Tijuana Tijuana 1-3 HT 1-2 Club America Club America MEK
23.08.2021 Club America Club America 2-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
04.03.2021 Tijuana Tijuana 0-2 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK

Tijuana 0-2 Club America — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tijuana
0-2
AWAY Club America
2.25 xG 0.43
64% Ball Possession 36%
36 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 1
387 Passes 173
86% Pass Accuracy 66%
51 Box Touches 9
41 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tijuana vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America got the better of Tijuana 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Club America made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tijuana had 64% of the ball to Club America's 36%, shots finished 36-6, expected goals 2.25 to 0.43 — the balance of chances actually favoured Tijuana.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tijuana and 2.00 for Club America.

What was the final score of Tijuana vs Club America?

Tijuana 0-2 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tijuana vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tijuana win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 40%, draw 28%, Club America 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tijuana), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tijuana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK More Mexico - Primera
14 Jan 2024
04:00 Cruz Azul vs Pachuca Analysis →
04:05 Guadalajara vs Santos Laguna Analysis →
06:00 Monterrey vs Puebla Analysis →
21:00 Pumas UNAM vs FC Juarez Analysis →