Schalke 04 1-0 Darmstadt 98 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 24 Oct 2025

📅24/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.61
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.56
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
12%
4.69
X/2
11%
8.03
X/X
13%
5.05
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.1
2/2
11%
5.86
2/X
6%
13.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+3.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.7pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.60/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.79
+14% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
22.4 Crosses 18.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schalke 04
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Darmstadt 98
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.33 xG 1.61
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
386 Passes 220
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
23.02.2025 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-0 HT 2-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
20.09.2024 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 3-5 HT 3-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
17.04.2022 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-5 HT 2-3 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
07.11.2021 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 2-4 HT 1-2 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
16.04.2017 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-1 HT 1-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL1
27.11.2016 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 3-1 HT 1-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Schalke 04
1-0
AWAY Darmstadt 98
1.98 xG 0.41
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
216 Passes 416
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Schalke 04 vs Darmstadt 98
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schalke 04 squeezed past Darmstadt 98 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Schalke 04 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Schalke 04 had 38% of the ball to Darmstadt 98's 62%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.98 to 0.41 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Schalke 04's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darmstadt 98 led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Schalke 04 and 2.67 for Darmstadt 98.

What was the final score of Schalke 04 vs Darmstadt 98?

Schalke 04 1-0 Darmstadt 98 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schalke 04 vs Darmstadt 98?

Before kick-off our model rated a Schalke 04 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Schalke 04 45%, draw 27%, Darmstadt 98 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Schalke 04) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Schalke 04) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
24 Oct 2025
19:30 Greuther Fürth vs Karlsruher SC Analysis →