Greuther Fürth 1-4 Karlsruher SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 24 Oct 2025

📅24/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.88
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
23%
2.69
6+ Goals
11%
6.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.68
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
21.25
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
13%
7.37
X/2
12%
5.24
X/X
11%
5.77
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
24%
2.76
2/X
7%
12.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.25 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
45%
Away Win
45%
+0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.1pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 49%
+5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +26%
1.42/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.35
+11% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 79%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
16.5 Crosses 18.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Karlsruher SC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.22 xG 1.66
50% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
308 Passes 306
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2025 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
23.11.2024 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-3 HT 1-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
02.03.2024 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 4-0 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
23.09.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 4-3 HT 3-3 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
10.02.2023 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 2-1 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
05.08.2022 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-1 HT 0-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greuther Fürth
1-4
AWAY Karlsruher SC
1.16 xG 1.62
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 5
403 Passes 339
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth vs Karlsruher SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlsruher SC swept aside Greuther Fürth 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Karlsruher SC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Greuther Fürth had 53% of the ball to Karlsruher SC's 47%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.16 to 1.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karlsruher SC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Greuther Fürth and 2.33 for Karlsruher SC.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth vs Karlsruher SC?

Greuther Fürth 1-4 Karlsruher SC in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth vs Karlsruher SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karlsruher SC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth 31%, draw 24%, Karlsruher SC 45%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karlsruher SC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karlsruher SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
24 Oct 2025
19:30 Schalke 04 vs Darmstadt 98 Analysis →