Greuther Fürth 2-3 Karlsruher SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 23 Nov 2024

Greuther Fürth
2-3 HT 1-0
Karlsruher SC
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Greuther Fürth vs Karlsruher SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
5.13
2-3 Goals
33%
1.98
4-5 Goals
27%
2.78
6+ Goals
10%
7.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.18
1/2 EV+ ✓
8%
23.0
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
12%
6.85
X/2
18%
5.4
X/X
13%
5.57
2/1
5%
28.0
2/2
17%
2.99
2/X
6%
12.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.0 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
33%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.6pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Greuther Fürth v Karlsruher SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 46%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +27%
1.57/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.28
+15% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +49%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 72%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
18.3 Crosses 19.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7

Greuther Fürth vs Karlsruher SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Karlsruher SC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.65 xG 1.56
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
341 Passes 284
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 4-0 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
23.09.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 4-3 HT 3-3 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
10.02.2023 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 2-1 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
05.08.2022 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-1 HT 0-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
08.05.2021 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-2 HT 1-2 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
08.01.2021 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 3-2 HT 2-2 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2

Greuther Fürth 2-3 Karlsruher SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greuther Fürth
2-3
AWAY Karlsruher SC
1.77 xG 1.42
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
316 Passes 344
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 18
31 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth vs Karlsruher SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlsruher SC nicked a narrow win over Greuther Fürth 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Karlsruher SC as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Greuther Fürth had 49% of the ball to Karlsruher SC's 51%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.77 to 1.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karlsruher SC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Greuther Fürth and 2.50 for Karlsruher SC.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth vs Karlsruher SC?

Greuther Fürth 2-3 Karlsruher SC in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth vs Karlsruher SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karlsruher SC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth 32%, draw 24%, Karlsruher SC 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karlsruher SC), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karlsruher SC) ✓ Over 2.5
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