Hertha Berlin 2-2 Ulm 1846 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
3.08
6+ Goals
11%
9.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.92
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.2
X/1
23%
3.85
X/2
5%
11.8
X/X
13%
6.05
2/1
7%
22.1
2/2
10%
8.94
2/X
6%
16.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-7.7pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.1pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+2.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.94/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.51
-2% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +150%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
391 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 69%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
23.4 Crosses 15.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hertha Berlin
2-2
AWAY Ulm 1846
1.58 xG 1.47
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
396 Passes 218
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
35 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hertha Berlin vs Ulm 1846
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin and Ulm 1846 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hertha Berlin at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hertha Berlin had 60% of the ball to Ulm 1846's 40%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.58 to 1.47.

What was the final score of Hertha Berlin vs Ulm 1846?

Hertha Berlin 2-2 Ulm 1846 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin vs Ulm 1846?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hertha Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin 53%, draw 27%, Ulm 1846 20%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hertha Berlin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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