Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Elversberg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortuna Düsseldorf v Elversberg — Team-Based Signals
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Elversberg Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-5
HT 0-3
Fortuna Düsseldorf
AL2
Fortuna Düsseldorf 0-2 Elversberg — Actual Match Statistics
Elversberg beat Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Elversberg found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Fortuna Düsseldorf had 59% of the ball to Elversberg's 41%, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 1.39 to 1.62.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 0.50 for Elversberg.
What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Elversberg?
Fortuna Düsseldorf 0-2 Elversberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Elversberg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf 38%, draw 26%, Elversberg 36%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.