Hannover 96 1-2 Darmstadt 98 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.7
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
20%
4.88
X/2
10%
7.48
X/X
10%
5.52
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.55
2/2
14%
4.88
2/X
7%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.55 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.0pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hannover 96 EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +12%
1.67/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.72
+0% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 73%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
20.5 Crosses 19.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hannover 96
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Darmstadt 98
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.03 xG 1.42
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
298 Passes 296
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2023 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 2-1 HT 2-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
04.11.2022 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-0 HT 0-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
13.02.2022 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 2-2 HT 1-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
28.08.2021 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 4-0 HT 2-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
07.05.2021 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 1-2 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
10.01.2021 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-2 HT 0-1 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hannover 96
1-2
AWAY Darmstadt 98
1.91 xG 0.77
41% Ball Possession 59%
20 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
297 Passes 440
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hannover 96 vs Darmstadt 98
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darmstadt 98 nicked a narrow win over Hannover 96 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hannover 96 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hannover 96 had 41% of the ball to Darmstadt 98's 59%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 1.91 to 0.77 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hannover 96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darmstadt 98 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hannover 96 and 1.83 for Darmstadt 98.

What was the final score of Hannover 96 vs Darmstadt 98?

Hannover 96 1-2 Darmstadt 98 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hannover 96 vs Darmstadt 98?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hannover 96 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hannover 96 47%, draw 24%, Darmstadt 98 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hannover 96) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hannover 96) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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