Karlsruher SC 1-0 Greuther Fürth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.97
6+ Goals
10%
9.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.36
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X EV+ ✗
13%
12.25
X/1
13%
5.73
X/2
12%
6.44
X/X
5%
5.17
2/1
9%
24.65
2/2
14%
4.04
2/X
8%
12.45
Value flag · 1/X at 12.25 — our 13% vs market 5.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -15%
1.71/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.64
+26% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +6%
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
266 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 79%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
23.0 Crosses 18.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlsruher SC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Greuther Fürth
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.49 xG 1.59
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
303 Passes 329
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-3 HT 1-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
02.03.2024 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 4-0 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
23.09.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 4-3 HT 3-3 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
10.02.2023 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 2-1 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
05.08.2022 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-1 HT 0-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
08.05.2021 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-2 HT 1-2 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlsruher SC
1-0
AWAY Greuther Fürth
1.58 xG 0.96
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
247 Passes 304
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 33
8 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Karlsruher SC vs Greuther Fürth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlsruher SC edged past Greuther Fürth 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Karlsruher SC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Karlsruher SC had 46% of the ball to Greuther Fürth's 54%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 1.58 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karlsruher SC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Karlsruher SC and 1.67 for Greuther Fürth.

What was the final score of Karlsruher SC vs Greuther Fürth?

Karlsruher SC 1-0 Greuther Fürth in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlsruher SC vs Greuther Fürth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karlsruher SC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Karlsruher SC 40%, draw 27%, Greuther Fürth 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karlsruher SC) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karlsruher SC) ✗ BTTS Yes
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