Köln 3-1 Preussen Münster — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
5.13
2-3 Goals
41%
1.98
4-5 Goals
23%
2.67
6+ Goals
10%
6.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.13 — our 26% vs market 14.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.77
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
16.0
X/1
17%
4.2
X/2
8%
13.2
X/X
11%
7.18
2/1
8%
19.65
2/2
10%
9.94
2/X
5%
18.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-10.6pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.5pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+14.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-14.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.0pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 19%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.20/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.56
+13% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +27%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
33.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
23.7 Crosses 15.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Köln
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Preussen Münster
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.69 xG 0.30
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
414 Passes 334
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
22.11.2024 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 0-1 HT 0-0 Köln Köln AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Köln
3-1
AWAY Preussen Münster
3.91 xG 0.66
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 12
340 Passes 227
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Köln vs Preussen Münster
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln beat Preussen Münster 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Köln as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Köln had 57% of the ball to Preussen Münster's 43%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 3.91 to 0.66.

What was the final score of Köln vs Preussen Münster?

Köln 3-1 Preussen Münster in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln vs Preussen Münster?

Before kick-off our model rated a Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Köln 53%, draw 24%, Preussen Münster 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Köln) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Köln) ✗ BTTS No
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