Magdeburg 3-0 Jahn Regensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
27%
2.71
6+ Goals
13%
6.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.7
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
17.05
X/1
17%
4.08
X/2
7%
14.25
X/X
10%
7.31
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.05
2/2
7%
11.15
2/X
8%
19.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.05 — our 8% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.0pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.1pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 18%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -22%
1.11/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.90
-46% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -28%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
442 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 72%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
16.0 Crosses 16.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magdeburg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.53 xG 1.64
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
369 Passes 193
76% Pass Accuracy 66%
28 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.11.2024 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 0-1 HT 0-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
14.08.2023 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-2 HT 0-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AFK
09.04.2023 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-2 HT 0-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
02.10.2022 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
21.04.2019 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
11.11.2018 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-3 HT 1-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magdeburg
3-0
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
1.52 xG 1.17
70% Ball Possession 30%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
426 Passes 134
83% Pass Accuracy 66%
30 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Magdeburg vs Jahn Regensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magdeburg swept aside Jahn Regensburg 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Magdeburg as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Magdeburg had 70% of the ball to Jahn Regensburg's 30%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.52 to 1.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Magdeburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Magdeburg and 1.17 for Jahn Regensburg.

What was the final score of Magdeburg vs Jahn Regensburg?

Magdeburg 3-0 Jahn Regensburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magdeburg vs Jahn Regensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Magdeburg win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Magdeburg 56%, draw 25%, Jahn Regensburg 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Magdeburg), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Magdeburg) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
20 Apr 2025
14:30 Darmstadt 98 vs Hannover 96 Analysis →
14:30 Karlsruher SC vs Greuther Fürth Analysis →
14:30 Ulm 1846 vs Hertha Berlin Analysis →
14:30 Köln vs Preussen Münster Analysis →