Zalgiris II 0-1 Minija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 24 Oct 2025

📅24/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.55
No
39%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.2pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.2pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.1pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Minija EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.86/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.68
+20% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris II
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Minija
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.06.2025 Minija Minija 1-4 HT 1-2 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
15.10.2023 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 2-3 Minija Minija LIT1
27.05.2023 Minija Minija 3-0 HT 1-0 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
05.08.2022 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 1-3 HT 0-2 Minija Minija LIT1
26.03.2022 Minija Minija 0-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris II
0-1
AWAY Minija
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zalgiris II vs Minija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minija squeezed past Zalgiris II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Zalgiris II at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zalgiris II had 66% of the ball to Minija's 34%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Minija led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Zalgiris II and 2.00 for Minija.

What was the final score of Zalgiris II vs Minija?

Zalgiris II 0-1 Minija in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris II vs Minija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris II 47%, draw 20%, Minija 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zalgiris II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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