Minija 1-4 Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 17 Jun 2025

📅17/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
43%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
43%
-13.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
43%
Away Win
32%
+10.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.6pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minija EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.61/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/0.94
+5% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +61%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minija
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Zalgiris II
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2023 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 2-3 Minija Minija LIT1
27.05.2023 Minija Minija 3-0 HT 1-0 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
05.08.2022 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 1-3 HT 0-2 Minija Minija LIT1
26.03.2022 Minija Minija 0-0 HT 0-0 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minija
1-4
AWAY Zalgiris II
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Minija vs Zalgiris II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris II cruised past Minija 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zalgiris II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Minija had 60% of the ball to Zalgiris II's 40%, shots finished 19-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Minija had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Minija and 0.75 for Zalgiris II.

What was the final score of Minija vs Zalgiris II?

Minija 1-4 Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minija vs Zalgiris II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Minija 29%, draw 28%, Zalgiris II 43%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris II), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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