Kauno Zalgiris II 1-3 Neptüna Klaipeda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 17 Jun 2025

📅17/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
60%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
28%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+7.0pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.5pp
60%
Away Win
67%
-7.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 71%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -10%
1.37/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/1.27
+41% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -34%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
249 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Neptüna Klaipeda
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2024 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 2-2 HT 2-0 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
22.03.2024 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 2-1 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
04.11.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 5-1 HT 2-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
23.06.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 5-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
02.10.2021 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 3-0 HT 1-0 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs Neptüna Klaipeda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda got the better of Kauno Zalgiris II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Neptüna Klaipeda as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Kauno Zalgiris II and 2.00 for Neptüna Klaipeda.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Kauno Zalgiris II 1-3 Neptüna Klaipeda in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs Neptüna Klaipeda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 21%, draw 19%, Neptüna Klaipeda 60%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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