Atmosfera 0-1 Lietava Jonava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 17 Jun 2025

📅17/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.95
Over 2.5
40%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+12.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-12.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.9pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Lietava Jonava EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.46/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-8% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atmosfera
0-1
AWAY Lietava Jonava
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Atmosfera vs Lietava Jonava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lietava Jonava nicked a narrow win over Atmosfera 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atmosfera at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Atmosfera had 51% of the ball to Lietava Jonava's 49%, shots finished 12-11.

What was the final score of Atmosfera vs Lietava Jonava?

Atmosfera 0-1 Lietava Jonava in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atmosfera vs Lietava Jonava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Atmosfera 46%, draw 26%, Lietava Jonava 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atmosfera) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atmosfera) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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