Hegelmann II vs Babrungas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hegelmann II v Babrungas — Team-Based Signals
Hegelmann II vs Babrungas Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Hegelmann II 4-2 Babrungas — Actual Match Statistics
Hegelmann II saw off Babrungas 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Babrungas at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Hegelmann II had 49% of the ball to Babrungas's 51%, shots finished 10-18.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Babrungas led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hegelmann II and 3.00 for Babrungas.
What was the final score of Hegelmann II vs Babrungas?
Hegelmann II 4-2 Babrungas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hegelmann II vs Babrungas?
Before kick-off our model rated an Babrungas win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann II 24%, draw 20%, Babrungas 56%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Babrungas), BTTS No went the other way.