Neptüna Klaipeda 3-1 Kauno Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 24 Oct 2025

📅24/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.22
Draw
16%
5.71
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
77%
-7.9pp
16%
Draw
14%
+1.4pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
2.46/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/2.44
+3% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
447 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.06.2025 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 1-3 HT 0-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
18.08.2024 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 2-2 HT 2-0 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
22.03.2024 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 2-1 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
04.11.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 5-1 HT 2-1 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
23.06.2023 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda 5-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
02.10.2021 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 3-0 HT 1-0 Neptüna Klaipeda Neptüna Klaipeda LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neptüna Klaipeda
3-1
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Neptüna Klaipeda vs Kauno Zalgiris II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neptüna Klaipeda beat Kauno Zalgiris II 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Neptüna Klaipeda as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Neptüna Klaipeda had 49% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris II's 51%, shots finished 10-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neptüna Klaipeda had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Neptüna Klaipeda and 2.00 for Kauno Zalgiris II.

What was the final score of Neptüna Klaipeda vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Neptüna Klaipeda 3-1 Kauno Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neptüna Klaipeda vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neptüna Klaipeda win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Neptüna Klaipeda 69%, draw 16%, Kauno Zalgiris II 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Neptüna Klaipeda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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