Mosta 1-1 Zabbar St. Patrick — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 24 Oct 2025

📅24/10/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
44%
Away Win
44%
-0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mosta EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.73/2.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.57
+85% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +84%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
281 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mosta
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 1-2 HT 0-0 Mosta Mosta MALTP
27.10.2024 Mosta Mosta 4-2 HT 1-1 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mosta
1-1
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mosta vs Zabbar St. Patrick
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mosta and Zabbar St. Patrick couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Zabbar St. Patrick at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Mosta had 49% of the ball to Zabbar St. Patrick's 51%, shots finished 9-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mosta had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Mosta and 1.50 for Zabbar St. Patrick.

What was the final score of Mosta vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Mosta 1-1 Zabbar St. Patrick in the Malta - Premier League on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mosta vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zabbar St. Patrick win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mosta 28%, draw 29%, Zabbar St. Patrick 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zabbar St. Patrick) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zabbar St. Patrick) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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