Fatih Karagümrük 2-2 Kayserispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 24 Oct 2025

📅24/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.03
Over
54%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.59
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.7
2-3
46%
1.81
4-5
24%
3.12
6+
6%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.06
1/2
2%
29.5
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
15%
5.14
X/2
12%
6.59
X/X
16%
5.15
2/1
3%
24.0
2/2
17%
4.47
2/X
5%
13.45
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Fatih Karagümrük The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Kayserispor The Market 34%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.77 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.33
1.37 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.35
Great Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kayserispor
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.49 xG 1.63
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
349 Passes 398
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Kayserispor Kayserispor 2-2 HT 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
10.01.2024 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 4-1 HT 3-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
30.05.2023 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 2-0 HT 2-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
04.01.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 2-4 HT 0-2 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
18.03.2022 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 3-0 HT 2-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
31.10.2021 Kayserispor Kayserispor 2-1 HT 0-1 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
2 - 2
AWAY Kayserispor
2.15 xG 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 7
277 Passes 305
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Fatih Karagümrük vs Kayserispor
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 2-2 draw left Fatih Karagümrük and Kayserispor with a point apiece. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

A gentle 43% lean on Fatih Karagümrük didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Kayserispor saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 2.15 to 1.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.67 a game for Fatih Karagümrük against 1.17 for Kayserispor.

Fatih Karagümrük vs Kayserispor Result & Final Score

Fatih Karagümrük 2 - 2 Kayserispor in the Turkey - Super League on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Fatih Karagümrük vs Kayserispor Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 43%, draw 26%, Kayserispor 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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