SC Villa 2-1 Uganda Police — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 24 Oct 2025

📅24/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.6
Over 2.5
50%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.99
No
45%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.4pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.5pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
46%
+9.2pp
45%
BTTS No
54%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SC Villa EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Uganda Police EU Bookmakers 28%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.75/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.49
-46% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -31%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SC Villa
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Uganda Police
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
13.12.2024 SC Villa SC Villa 1-1 HT 1-0 Uganda Police Uganda Police UGA
29.10.2021 SC Villa SC Villa 1-0 HT 0-0 Uganda Police Uganda Police UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SC Villa
2-1
AWAY Uganda Police
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SC Villa vs Uganda Police
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SC Villa squeezed past Uganda Police 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SC Villa as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, SC Villa had 60% of the ball to Uganda Police's 40%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, SC Villa had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SC Villa and 0.50 for Uganda Police.

What was the final score of SC Villa vs Uganda Police?

SC Villa 2-1 Uganda Police in the Uganda - Premier League on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SC Villa vs Uganda Police?

Before kick-off our model rated a SC Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split SC Villa 45%, draw 23%, Uganda Police 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SC Villa), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SC Villa) ✓ BTTS Yes
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