Kitara vs Mbarara City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kitara v Mbarara City — Team-Based Signals
Kitara vs Mbarara City Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Kitara
UGA
Kitara nicked a narrow win over Mbarara City 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kitara as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Kitara and 0.75 for Mbarara City.
What was the final score of Kitara vs Mbarara City?
Kitara 3-2 Mbarara City in the Uganda - Premier League on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kitara vs Mbarara City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kitara win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Kitara 53%, draw 23%, Mbarara City 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kitara), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.