Almeria II 0-1 UCAM Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almeria II EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 45%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.94
+42% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almeria II
0-1
AWAY UCAM Murcia
59% Ball Possession 41%
5 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Almeria II vs UCAM Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCAM Murcia nicked a narrow win over Almeria II 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had UCAM Murcia as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Almeria II had 59% of the ball to UCAM Murcia's 41%, shots finished 5-16.

What was the final score of Almeria II vs UCAM Murcia?

Almeria II 0-1 UCAM Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almeria II vs UCAM Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated an UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Almeria II 31%, draw 28%, UCAM Murcia 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCAM Murcia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
24 Nov 2024
13:00 Getafe II vs Atlético Paso Analysis →
13:30 La Union Atletico vs Juventud Torremolinos Analysis →
14:00 Tenerife II vs Real Madrid III Analysis →
14:00 Illescas vs Talavera CF Analysis →
14:00 Mostoles vs Colonia Moscardo Analysis →
14:00 Rayo Majadahonda vs SS Reyes Analysis →