Antoniano 2-1 Estepona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.7pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.6pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.9pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antoniano EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Estepona EU Bookmakers 37%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.17/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.60
+5% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +72%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antoniano
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Estepona
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
3 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 5
10.12.2023 Estepona Estepona 3-0 HT 1-0 Antoniano Antoniano İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antoniano
2-1
AWAY Estepona
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Antoniano vs Estepona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antoniano squeezed past Estepona 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Antoniano found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Antoniano had 42% of the ball to Estepona's 58%, shots finished 8-15.

What was the final score of Antoniano vs Estepona?

Antoniano 2-1 Estepona in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antoniano vs Estepona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antoniano win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Antoniano 35%, draw 31%, Estepona 35%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/31/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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