New York City FC 0-2 New York Red Bulls — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.29
2-3 Goals
33%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.67
6+ Goals
11%
14.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.67 — our 29% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.02
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
11%
4.81
X/2
12%
6.78
X/X
11%
4.57
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
13%
4.91
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York City FC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.70/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.34
+0% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
17.3 Crosses 15.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York City FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY New York Red Bulls
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.05 xG 0.95
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
387 Passes 246
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
29.09.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-5 HT 1-4 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
19.05.2024 New York City FC New York City FC 2-1 HT 1-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
16.09.2023 New York City FC New York City FC 0-0 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
04.08.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-0 HT 1-0 New York City FC New York City FC CONLK
14.05.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-0 HT 0-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
17.09.2022 New York City FC New York City FC 2-0 HT 2-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York City FC
0-2
AWAY New York Red Bulls
2.80 xG 0.97
71% Ball Possession 29%
25 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 5
444 Passes 123
79% Pass Accuracy 54%
47 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York Red Bulls saw off New York City FC 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was New York City FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, New York City FC had 71% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 29%, shots finished 25-9, expected goals 2.80 to 0.97 — on chances, New York City FC could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for New York City FC and 0.67 for New York Red Bulls.

What was the final score of New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls?

New York City FC 0-2 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 42%, draw 25%, New York Red Bulls 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (New York City FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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