Orlando City 1-0 Atlanta United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.49
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.96
6+ Goals
13%
8.72
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.49 — our 26% vs market 17.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1.96
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.8
X/1
26%
3.95
X/2
6%
11.2
X/X
12%
6.21
2/1
10%
21.15
2/2
10%
8.19
2/X
5%
16.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-6.0pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.4pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando City EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
1.90/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.74
+14% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
19.2 Crosses 16.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Atlanta United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.91 xG 1.35
52% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
385 Passes 350
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 1-2 HT 1-2 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
18.03.2024 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-0 HT 1-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
16.07.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 1-2 HT 1-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
28.05.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 1-1 HT 1-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
15.09.2022 Orlando City Orlando City 0-1 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
17.07.2022 Atlanta United Atlanta United 1-1 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando City
1-0
AWAY Atlanta United
1.42 xG 0.35
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 4
403 Passes 415
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Orlando City vs Atlanta United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando City squeezed past Atlanta United 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Orlando City as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Orlando City had 49% of the ball to Atlanta United's 51%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.42 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlanta United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Orlando City and 1.33 for Atlanta United.

What was the final score of Orlando City vs Atlanta United?

Orlando City 1-0 Atlanta United in the USA - Major League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando City vs Atlanta United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 54%, draw 25%, Atlanta United 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando City), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Orlando City) ✓ BTTS No
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