Orlando City 1-2 Atlanta United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 20 Oct 2024

Orlando City
1-2 HT 1-2
Atlanta United
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Orlando City vs Atlanta United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.69
2-3 Goals
35%
2.03
4-5 Goals
27%
2.62
6+ Goals
14%
6.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.22
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
18%
4.48
X/2
11%
8.96
X/X
12%
6.35
2/1
7%
19.75
2/2
14%
5.71
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.0pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Orlando City v Atlanta United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.79/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.52
+10% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
353 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 83%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
18.1 Crosses 17.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Orlando City vs Atlanta United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Atlanta United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.71 xG 1.32
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
339 Passes 378
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.03.2024 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-0 HT 1-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
16.07.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 1-2 HT 1-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
28.05.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 1-1 HT 1-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
15.09.2022 Orlando City Orlando City 0-1 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
17.07.2022 Atlanta United Atlanta United 1-1 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
11.09.2021 Atlanta United Atlanta United 3-0 HT 2-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD

Orlando City 1-2 Atlanta United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando City
1-2
AWAY Atlanta United
1.51 xG 1.38
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 1
603 Passes 262
90% Pass Accuracy 78%
39 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Orlando City vs Atlanta United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlanta United edged past Orlando City 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Orlando City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Orlando City had 67% of the ball to Atlanta United's 33%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.51 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlanta United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Orlando City and 1.50 for Atlanta United.

What was the final score of Orlando City vs Atlanta United?

Orlando City 1-2 Atlanta United in the USA - Major League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando City vs Atlanta United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 45%, draw 25%, Atlanta United 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Orlando City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orlando City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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