Sumqayıt 2-1 Shamakhi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.4pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -15%
1.00/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.46
-22% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sumqayıt
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Shamakhi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Shamakhi Shamakhi 1-0 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
16.04.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-0 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
12.02.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-0 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
11.11.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 4-2 HT 2-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
11.09.2022 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-1 HT 1-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
09.05.2022 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-0 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
POST-MATCH Sumqayıt vs Shamakhi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sumqayıt squeezed past Shamakhi 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sumqayıt as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sumqayıt and 1.00 for Shamakhi.

What was the final score of Sumqayıt vs Shamakhi?

Sumqayıt 2-1 Shamakhi in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sumqayıt vs Shamakhi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sumqayıt win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sumqayıt 45%, draw 25%, Shamakhi 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sumqayıt) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sumqayıt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
24 Nov 2024
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