Turan Tovuz 1-1 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
12%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.3pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 42%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.52/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.21
+41% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Turan Tovuz
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sabah
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
15.09.2024 Sabah Sabah 2-2 HT 1-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
06.04.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-0 HT 1-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
03.02.2024 Sabah Sabah 1-1 HT 1-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
11.11.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-3 HT 2-3 Sabah Sabah AZERS
01.09.2023 Sabah Sabah 0-3 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
22.04.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 0-2 HT 0-1 Sabah Sabah AZERS
POST-MATCH Turan Tovuz vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Turan Tovuz and Sabah shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Turan Tovuz and 1.33 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Turan Tovuz vs Sabah?

Turan Tovuz 1-1 Sabah in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Turan Tovuz vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Turan Tovuz 32%, draw 31%, Sabah 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sabah), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sabah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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24 Nov 2024
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