Al Hamriyah 1-3 Al Dhafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 24 Nov 2024

Al Hamriyah
1-3
Al Dhafra
📅24/11/2024 · 🕒15:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
UAE - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Al Hamriyah vs Al Dhafra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.75
Draw
35%
3.45
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
23%
-3.1pp
35%
Draw
25%
+9.5pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Hamriyah v Al Dhafra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hamriyah EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 56%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
0.95/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.35/2.39
-24% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -52%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.1 Yellow Cards 0.0

Al Hamriyah vs Al Dhafra Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hamriyah
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Dhafra
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE2
16.09.2023 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
POST-MATCH Al Hamriyah vs Al Dhafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Dhafra got the better of Al Hamriyah 3-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Dhafra as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Dhafra led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Hamriyah and 2.00 for Al Dhafra.

What was the final score of Al Hamriyah vs Al Dhafra?

Al Hamriyah 1-3 Al Dhafra in the UAE - 1st Division on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hamriyah vs Al Dhafra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Dhafra win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Hamriyah 20%, draw 35%, Al Dhafra 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Dhafra) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Dhafra) ✗ Under 2.5
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