Al Thaid 3-1 Gulf Heroes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.0pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Thaid EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gulf Heroes EU Bookmakers 37%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.15/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.86
-21% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -31%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Thaid
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Gulf Heroes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Gulf Heroes 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
17.11.2023 Al Thaid Al Thaid 1-1 HT 1-0 Gulf Heroes BAE2
07.05.2023 Gulf Heroes 3-0 HT 0-0 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
01.01.2023 Al Thaid Al Thaid 1-1 HT 1-1 Gulf Heroes BAE2
10.04.2022 Al Thaid Al Thaid 2-2 Gulf Heroes BAE2
24.12.2021 Gulf Heroes 3-2 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
POST-MATCH Al Thaid vs Gulf Heroes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Thaid saw off Gulf Heroes 3-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Thaid as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gulf Heroes led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Thaid and 1.83 for Gulf Heroes.

What was the final score of Al Thaid vs Gulf Heroes?

Al Thaid 3-1 Gulf Heroes in the UAE - 1st Division on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Thaid vs Gulf Heroes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Thaid win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Thaid 42%, draw 24%, Gulf Heroes 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Thaid), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Thaid) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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