GOSK Gabela 0-3 FK Sarajevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.78
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
61%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.21
Over 2.5
43%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
10%
+6.0pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.2pp
61%
Away Win
71%
-10.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
41%
+15.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
59%
-15.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.8pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GOSK Gabela EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 75%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
0.93/3.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/0.77
+51% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GOSK Gabela
0W-1D-3L
AWAY FK Sarajevo
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 0
19.08.2024 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 3-1 HT 2-0 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela BOSN
16.03.2024 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 4-0 HT 2-0 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela BOSN
09.12.2023 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 3-0 HT 0-0 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela BOSN
02.09.2023 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela 2-2 HT 1-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GOSK Gabela
0-3
AWAY FK Sarajevo
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH GOSK Gabela vs FK Sarajevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Sarajevo cruised past GOSK Gabela 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FK Sarajevo as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, GOSK Gabela had 41% of the ball to FK Sarajevo's 59%, shots finished 4-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, FK Sarajevo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for GOSK Gabela and 3.00 for FK Sarajevo.

What was the final score of GOSK Gabela vs FK Sarajevo?

GOSK Gabela 0-3 FK Sarajevo in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GOSK Gabela vs FK Sarajevo?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Sarajevo win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split GOSK Gabela 16%, draw 22%, FK Sarajevo 61%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Sarajevo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Sarajevo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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