SonderjyskE 2-2 Brondby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 24 Nov 2024

SonderjyskE
2-2 HT 0-1
Brondby
📅24/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2024/2025

SonderjyskE vs Brondby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.65
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
51%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.56
2-3 Goals
35%
1.92
4-5 Goals
28%
2.94
6+ Goals
14%
8.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
8.15
1/2 EV+ ✗
15%
21.2
1/X
8%
16.1
X/1
13%
11.25
X/2
16%
3.99
X/X
12%
6.18
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
20%
1.97
2/X
5%
15.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.2 — our 15% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+4.8pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
51%
Away Win
59%
-8.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

SonderjyskE v Brondby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Brondby EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.22/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.32
-1% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -16%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 80%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
14.3 Crosses 17.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5

SonderjyskE vs Brondby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SonderjyskE
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Brondby
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.00 xG 1.41
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
265 Passes 516
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 35
10 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.09.2024 Brondby Brondby 2-0 HT 1-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
28.02.2022 Brondby Brondby 1-0 HT 1-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
19.09.2021 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-0 HT 0-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
13.12.2020 Brondby Brondby 2-1 HT 1-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
18.10.2020 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 2-0 HT 0-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
02.06.2020 Brondby Brondby 1-0 HT 0-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN

SonderjyskE 2-2 Brondby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SonderjyskE
2-2
AWAY Brondby
2.24 xG 1.38
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
396 Passes 338
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SonderjyskE vs Brondby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SonderjyskE and Brondby shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Brondby at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, SonderjyskE had 53% of the ball to Brondby's 47%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 2.24 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brondby led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for SonderjyskE and 1.00 for Brondby.

What was the final score of SonderjyskE vs Brondby?

SonderjyskE 2-2 Brondby in the Denmark - Süperlig on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SonderjyskE vs Brondby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brondby win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split SonderjyskE 23%, draw 26%, Brondby 51%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brondby) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brondby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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